IntroductionRisk scaleNatural eventsLand use changes

How can I estimate the hydrogeological risk of my site?

Hydrogeological risk is expressed on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 indicates low risk and 5 represents extreme risk. This index is calculated by analyzing the intensity and frequency of events in the watershed since 1985.

Do you know the level of hydrogeological risk of your company is exposed to?

This video explains the meaning of hydrogeological risk for a business site and how it is calculated on a scale of 1 to 5.

In the “Physical Hazards” section you can find an indicator that shows how exposed an area is to flooding. For each of the world’s river basins (HydroBASINS database) XNatura counts all events recorded since 1985 (source Global Active Archive and Dartmouth Flood Observatory), estimates their severity, and calculates the average probability that they will recur in the next few years.The result, adjusted with IPCC climate scenarios, is transformed into 5 hazard classes:

  • 1 = negligible
  • 5 = extreme
A full-color GIS map immediately shows you the most critical points.Why it is useful. City planners, farmers, and infrastructure designers can see where a construction site is at risk of going under water, decide if extra levees or drainage are needed, and reduce costs and environmental impacts even before work begins. Follow us to discover more KPIs and improve your risk management strategy.

How is the hydro-geological risk scale defined and calculated?

The hydrogeological risk scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 indicates low risk and 5 represents extreme risk.

Using data on floods that have occurred in past years from 1985 to the present, collected by the Global Active Archive of Large Flood Events, it is possible to associate a flood risk with each hydrologic basin worldwide.The database of hydrologic basins is freely provided by HydroBASINS and includes 12 hierarchical levels of basins, from the most detailed (level 12, minor watershed) to the most generic (level 1, continents).Flood risk is calculated by counting the number of flood events that have occurred in the past for each basin in level 12, weighted from 1 to 3 depending on the level of severity of damage to structures and people. This indicator, with a value from zero to infinity, is then divided into 5 risk classes, from lowest to highest depending on its value.

What are the natural events related to hydrogeological risk?

This video illustrates the natural events related to hydrogeological risk, such as floods and inundations.

Natural events related to hydrogeological risk are due to floods, including:

  • Heavy rainfall, river overflows, tsunamis
  • Rainfall or urban floods
  • Lake floods
  • Floods caused by cyclones or tropical storms
  • Floods from dam or infrastructure breaches
These phenomena can be triggered or exacerbated by heavy rainfall, prolonged droughts, loss of vegetation, and anthropogenic activities. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of these events, making continuous land monitoring necessary.The XNatura platform enables monitoring of sites exposed to hydrogeological risk through geospatial data, satellite imagery and environmental sensors, supporting predictive analysis and effective adaptation strategies.

How do land use changes in the surrounding area affect the risk of my site?

Land use changes around a business site can amplify hydrogeological risk in three key ways.

Land use changes around a farm site can amplify hydrological risk in three key ways:

  • Imperviousness: Roads, roofs and yards reduce infiltration and increase runoff: heavy rainfall generates flood peaks, promoting flash floods and bank erosion.
  • Loss of vegetation cover: Deforestation, grazing or intensive agriculture decrease the root system that stabilizes soil; slopes become more susceptible to landslides and debris flows.
  • Earthmoving and hydraulic detour: Fills, excavations and new infrastructure alter natural drainage, creating sudden pools of water and pressure points on the hydrographic network, with risk of subsidence and localized flooding.
By constantly monitoring land use with XNatura, the company can predict these dynamics and intervene with drainage works, vegetated buffer strips or nature-based solutions, reducing overall risk and protecting assets, people and the supply chain.

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XNatura focuses on the digitalization of nature, integrating artificial intelligence, IoT sensors, satellite technologies, and cloud computing. The goal is to collect, process, and analyze environmental data to support companies, public entities, and natural parks in monitoring and managing risks and impacts on nature, biodiversity, and climate change.

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